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The great debt rollover begins, and with it, the beginning of the end

5/27/2013

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S&P estimates China will need more than $8 trillion for refinancing during the five years ending 2017, accounting for half of such needs in the Asia-Pacific region.  

Bloomberg data shows borrowers from Hong Kong and China have sold 7x more bonds to repay existing debt this year than in the first five months of 2012. 

Bright Food Group Co., which has operations from dairy to wine, issued US$500 million of securities maturing May 2018, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The company will use the funds to repay financing for its acquisition of British cereal maker Weetabix Ltd., Moody’s Investors Service said in a report on May 7.

This is how the beginning of the end begins.  Companies and governments issue new debt to pay off old debt as the cash flows of the underlying asset/investment do not generate sufficient returns to pay off the original debt.  And they never will.  Kicking the can down the road works for a time, that is until the road ends either because runaway inflation prevents governments from continuing to print money or investors balk at rolling over the debt again forcing a bankruptcy restructuring.

Source:
"China Corporate Debt to Overtake U.S. Within Two Years, S&P Says", Bloomberg, May 15m 2013
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-15/china-corporate-debt-to-overtake-u-s-within-two-years-s-p-says.html

CKB Solutions is all about real solutions for the real world.  To learn how we can help your business, contact Greg Kovacic in Hong Kong.


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    Greg Kovacic is a Director with CKB Solutions in Hong Kong. He advises senior executives and entrepreneurs on strategy, corporate finance, operations and marketing with a focus on crafting real solutions for the real world.  
    You can contact Greg at: greg@ckbsolutions.com

    View my profile on LinkedIn

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